Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002237 0.002365 0.002500 0.002655 0.002828 0.003017 0.003241
2025-02-16 0.002041 0.002216 0.002412 0.002649 0.002933 0.003268 0.003699
2025-02-23 0.001941 0.002153 0.002399 0.002713 0.003110 0.003611 0.004318
2025-03-02 0.001822 0.002049 0.002322 0.002681 0.003157 0.003791 0.004754
2025-03-09 0.001714 0.001948 0.002235 0.002623 0.003155 0.003896 0.005097
2025-03-16 0.001669 0.001920 0.002234 0.002672 0.003297 0.004219 0.005845
2025-03-23 0.001626 0.001889 0.002225 0.002707 0.003421 0.004531 0.006668
2025-03-30 0.001565 0.001831 0.002176 0.002679 0.003445 0.004687 0.007249
2025-04-06 0.001496 0.001758 0.002101 0.002608 0.003395 0.004707 0.007559
2025-04-13 0.001447 0.001709 0.002057 0.002577 0.003403 0.004827 0.008133
2025-04-20 0.001368 0.001618 0.001948 0.002445 0.003236 0.004608 0.007828
2025-04-27 0.001339 0.001592 0.001930 0.002446 0.003287 0.004801 0.008633
2025-05-04 0.001324 0.001586 0.001942 0.002498 0.003435 0.005222 0.010369
2025-05-11 0.001296 0.001560 0.001925 0.002503 0.003503 0.005503 0.011949
2025-05-18 0.001285 0.001559 0.001942 0.002563 0.003679 0.006065 0.015328
2025-05-25 0.001251 0.001523 0.001907 0.002536 0.003688 0.006242 0.017336
2025-06-01 0.001213 0.001480 0.001858 0.002484 0.003643 0.006276 0.018671
2025-06-08 0.001202 0.001476 0.001867 0.002528 0.003793 0.006861 0.025459
2025-06-15 0.001189 0.001467 0.001869 0.002560 0.003922 0.007442 0.036428
2025-06-22 0.001163 0.001438 0.001840 0.002535 0.003927 0.007655 0.045544
2025-06-29 0.001129 0.001398 0.001790 0.002471 0.003842 0.007557 0.048451
2025-07-06 0.001105 0.001371 0.001761 0.002443 0.003833 0.007715 0.061389
2025-07-13 0.001061 0.001313 0.001682 0.002323 0.003613 0.007111 0.045839